Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 11 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 11 июня?
17°C 38%
16°C 35%
18°C 15%
15°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июн. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
9%
16°C
35%
17°C
38%
18°C
15%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
17°C 38%
16°C 35%
18°C 15%
15°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июн. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$118 Объем
<1%
13°C
$370 Объем
1%
14°C
$331 Объем
1%
15°C
$1,331 Объем
9%
16°C
$889 Объем
35%
17°C
$760 Объем
38%
18°C
$607 Объем
15%
19°C
$1,746 Объем
5%
20°C
$476 Объем
1%
21°C
$773 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$421 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Объем
$7,821Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,821Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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