Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$91,908 Объем
$91,908 Объем
12 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$91,908 Объем
$91,908 Объем
12 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$531 Объем
No
20°C
$529 Объем
No
21°C
$1,639 Объем
No
22°C
$5,127 Объем
No
23°C
$11,428 Объем
No
24°C
$11,484 Объем
No
25°C
$18,015 Объем
No
26°C
$16,433 Объем
Yes
27°C
$11,707 Объем
No
28°C
$12,979 Объем
No
29°C or higher
$2,035 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$91,908Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$91,908Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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