**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 13 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 13 июля?
13°C 49%
14°C 31%
12°C 18%
16°C 2.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июл. 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
18%
13°C
49%
14°C
31%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 49%
14°C 31%
12°C 18%
16°C 2.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июл. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$133 Объем
<1%
8°C
$263 Объем
<1%
9°C
$147 Объем
<1%
10°C
$58 Объем
2%
11°C
$20 Объем
2%
12°C
$95 Объем
18%
13°C
$98 Объем
49%
14°C
$169 Объем
31%
15°C
$76 Объем
2%
16°C
$32 Объем
2%
17°C or higher
$24 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$1,118Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,118Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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