**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 23, 2026, is dominated by late-summer heat in Henan province, where climatological averages place daily highs near 32–33 °C.** Multiple forecast models converge on a peak of 32–33 °C (roughly 90–91 °F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers and high humidity, conditions that support surface heating while limiting extreme spikes. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and international meteorological services consistently projects afternoon maxima in this range, reflecting the region’s typical August pattern of warm, moist air masses with modest diurnal cooling from cloud cover or brief rain. The strong market weighting toward 32 °C or higher (73.5 % implied probability) aligns with these consensus forecasts, while the secondary 31 °C bucket (26 %) captures residual uncertainty from potential earlier shower timing or slightly stronger cloud decks. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport; any last-model-run adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent agencies could still shift outcomes within the narrow 31–33 °C window before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 23 августа?
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
29°C 11%
30°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
29°C 11%
30°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 23, 2026, is dominated by late-summer heat in Henan province, where climatological averages place daily highs near 32–33 °C.** Multiple forecast models converge on a peak of 32–33 °C (roughly 90–91 °F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers and high humidity, conditions that support surface heating while limiting extreme spikes. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and international meteorological services consistently projects afternoon maxima in this range, reflecting the region’s typical August pattern of warm, moist air masses with modest diurnal cooling from cloud cover or brief rain. The strong market weighting toward 32 °C or higher (73.5 % implied probability) aligns with these consensus forecasts, while the secondary 31 °C bucket (26 %) captures residual uncertainty from potential earlier shower timing or slightly stronger cloud decks. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport; any last-model-run adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent agencies could still shift outcomes within the narrow 31–33 °C window before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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