Trader consensus strongly favors exactly three magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes during the August 10–16 window, consistent with USGS global catalogs showing typical weekly rates of 1–3 such events amid background tectonic activity along subduction zones and transform faults. Key developments include the M7.4 Colombia quake on August 10, the M7.7 Indonesia event and associated aftershocks on August 14, plus an M6.0 in the South Sandwich Islands on August 12, which together positioned the period near the historical mean without triggering an anomalous cluster. Model consensus and ongoing USGS monitoring indicate low near-term probability of additional large shocks altering the count before resolution, though aftershock sequences or distant plate-boundary activity could still shift the final tally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько 6,5 и выше землетрясений 10 августа - 16 августа?
Сколько 6,5 и выше землетрясений 10 августа - 16 августа?
3 86.5%
4 7.5%
5 3.3%
>5 <1%
$34,833 Объем
$34,833 Объем
10 авг. 2026 г.
0
<1%
1
<1%
2
<1%
3
86%
4
8%
5
3%
>5
7%
3 86.5%
4 7.5%
5 3.3%
>5 <1%
$34,833 Объем
$34,833 Объем
10 авг. 2026 г.
0
$11,993 Объем
<1%
1
$6,764 Объем
<1%
2
$6,814 Объем
<1%
3
$4,406 Объем
86%
4
$1,105 Объем
8%
5
$1,025 Объем
3%
>5
$2,726 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus strongly favors exactly three magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes during the August 10–16 window, consistent with USGS global catalogs showing typical weekly rates of 1–3 such events amid background tectonic activity along subduction zones and transform faults. Key developments include the M7.4 Colombia quake on August 10, the M7.7 Indonesia event and associated aftershocks on August 14, plus an M6.0 in the South Sandwich Islands on August 12, which together positioned the period near the historical mean without triggering an anomalous cluster. Model consensus and ongoing USGS monitoring indicate low near-term probability of additional large shocks altering the count before resolution, though aftershock sequences or distant plate-boundary activity could still shift the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Объем
$34,833Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus strongly favors exactly three magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes during the August 10–16 window, consistent with USGS global catalogs showing typical weekly rates of 1–3 such events amid background tectonic activity along subduction zones and transform faults. Key developments include the M7.4 Colombia quake on August 10, the M7.7 Indonesia event and associated aftershocks on August 14, plus an M6.0 in the South Sandwich Islands on August 12, which together positioned the period near the historical mean without triggering an anomalous cluster. Model consensus and ongoing USGS monitoring indicate low near-term probability of additional large shocks altering the count before resolution, though aftershock sequences or distant plate-boundary activity could still shift the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Объем
$34,833Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors exactly three magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes during the August 10–16 window, consistent with USGS global catalogs showing typical weekly rates of 1–3 such events amid background tectonic activity along subduction zones and transform faults. Key developments include the M7.4 Colombia quake on August 10, the M7.7 Indonesia event and associated aftershocks on August 14, plus an M6.0 in the South Sandwich Islands on August 12, which together positioned the period near the historical mean without triggering an anomalous cluster. Model consensus and ongoing USGS monitoring indicate low near-term probability of additional large shocks altering the count before resolution, though aftershock sequences or distant plate-boundary activity could still shift the final tally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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