Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, draws strong trader support for the 24-25 seat range because recent September polls consistently place it at or near the top of the field, often ahead of or tied with Likud. Its rise stems from voter shifts away from both the governing coalition and Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance, bolstered by Eisenkot’s security credentials and a slate featuring prominent ex-officials. Surplus-vote agreements with The Democrats, alongside similar pacts among other opposition lists, help maximize representation without mergers. The fragmented field, with Together polling lower and smaller parties near the threshold, keeps outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable ahead of the October 27 vote, though final turnout and late developments could still shift results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено24-25 30%
22-23 27%
26-27 16%
20-21 12%
<20
4%
20-21
12%
22-23
20%
24-25
34%
26-27
16%
28-29
5%
30+
5%
24-25 30%
22-23 27%
26-27 16%
20-21 12%
<20
4%
20-21
12%
22-23
20%
24-25
34%
26-27
16%
28-29
5%
30+
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, draws strong trader support for the 24-25 seat range because recent September polls consistently place it at or near the top of the field, often ahead of or tied with Likud. Its rise stems from voter shifts away from both the governing coalition and Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance, bolstered by Eisenkot’s security credentials and a slate featuring prominent ex-officials. Surplus-vote agreements with The Democrats, alongside similar pacts among other opposition lists, help maximize representation without mergers. The fragmented field, with Together polling lower and smaller parties near the threshold, keeps outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable ahead of the October 27 vote, though final turnout and late developments could still shift results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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