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icon for Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?

Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?

icon for Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?

Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?

24-25 30%

22-23 27%

26-27 16%

20-21 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

24-25 30%

22-23 27%

26-27 16%

20-21 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<20

$186 Объем

4%

20-21

$417 Объем

12%

22-23

$777 Объем

20%

24-25

$831 Объем

34%

26-27

$615 Объем

16%

28-29

$282 Объем

5%

30+

$5,715 Объем

5%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, draws strong trader support for the 24-25 seat range because recent September polls consistently place it at or near the top of the field, often ahead of or tied with Likud. Its rise stems from voter shifts away from both the governing coalition and Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance, bolstered by Eisenkot’s security credentials and a slate featuring prominent ex-officials. Surplus-vote agreements with The Democrats, alongside similar pacts among other opposition lists, help maximize representation without mergers. The fragmented field, with Together polling lower and smaller parties near the threshold, keeps outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable ahead of the October 27 vote, though final turnout and late developments could still shift results.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$8,824
Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, draws strong trader support for the 24-25 seat range because recent September polls consistently place it at or near the top of the field, often ahead of or tied with Likud. Its rise stems from voter shifts away from both the governing coalition and Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance, bolstered by Eisenkot’s security credentials and a slate featuring prominent ex-officials. Surplus-vote agreements with The Democrats, alongside similar pacts among other opposition lists, help maximize representation without mergers. The fragmented field, with Together polling lower and smaller parties near the threshold, keeps outcomes in the low-to-mid 20s most probable ahead of the October 27 vote, though final turnout and late developments could still shift results.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$8,824
Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «24-25» с 34%, за ним следует «22-23» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 34¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?» — «24-25» с 34%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Следующий ближайший исход — «22-23» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.