JD Vance serves as the sitting vice president in the second Trump administration, with market prices reflecting broad trader consensus on continuity in that role. No official announcements, Senate actions, or public disputes have signaled removal, resignation, or replacement through mid-2026. Low implied probabilities for an exit by year-end align with the absence of major catalysts such as confirmation hearings, cabinet reshuffles, or reported policy rifts. The November 2026 midterm elections and any associated White House adjustments represent the nearest scheduled political events that could influence positioning, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically remain in place absent acute controversies or health developments.