Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a lowest temperature of 24–25°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical environment. Persistent moisture from the South China Sea and recent scattered showers have maintained elevated dew points near 24–26°C, moderating overnight drops compared to drier historical analogs. Trader consensus around these levels reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns without strong cold-air intrusions, while the notable probability on 20°C or below captures tail risks from unexpected clearer skies or model shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming NMC or ECMWF updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 8 сентября?
20°C или ниже 59%
23°C 49%
25°C 31%
24°C 26%
20°C или ниже
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
25%
30°C или выше
1%
20°C или ниже 59%
23°C 49%
25°C 31%
24°C 26%
20°C или ниже
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
25%
30°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a lowest temperature of 24–25°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical environment. Persistent moisture from the South China Sea and recent scattered showers have maintained elevated dew points near 24–26°C, moderating overnight drops compared to drier historical analogs. Trader consensus around these levels reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns without strong cold-air intrusions, while the notable probability on 20°C or below captures tail risks from unexpected clearer skies or model shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming NMC or ECMWF updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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