Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Istanbul overnight lows near 18–22°C for August 23, consistent with typical late-summer conditions driven by the region's Mediterranean climate, Black Sea influence, and weakening high-pressure systems. This positions the 16°C-or-below outcome (42% implied probability) as reflecting potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies or a modest northerly flow, while the 26°C-or-higher market (25%) accounts for limited warming from humidity or urban heat. Trader sentiment incorporates model spread and historical variability around the 20°C climatological baseline, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings amid stable patterns lacking major synoptic shifts in the past week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 23 августа?
26°C or higher 50%
16°C or below 43%
18°C 36%
25°C 36%
16°C or below
43%
17°C
19%
18°C
36%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C or higher
50%
26°C or higher 50%
16°C or below 43%
18°C 36%
25°C 36%
16°C or below
43%
17°C
19%
18°C
36%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Istanbul overnight lows near 18–22°C for August 23, consistent with typical late-summer conditions driven by the region's Mediterranean climate, Black Sea influence, and weakening high-pressure systems. This positions the 16°C-or-below outcome (42% implied probability) as reflecting potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies or a modest northerly flow, while the 26°C-or-higher market (25%) accounts for limited warming from humidity or urban heat. Trader sentiment incorporates model spread and historical variability around the 20°C climatological baseline, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings amid stable patterns lacking major synoptic shifts in the past week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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