Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance shows clear skies and light winds favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling over London on August 22–23, supporting a daily minimum near 13–14 °C. Calm conditions under high pressure allow surface inversions to develop, while modest dew points limit further cooling. Slight differences among ECMWF, GFS, and UKMO runs hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Updated high-resolution forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow uncertainty before the 24-hour minimum is recorded at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 23 августа?
13°C 36%
14°C 28%
12°C 18%
11°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
6%
11°C
12%
12°C
18%
13°C
36%
14°C
28%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C или выше
<1%
13°C 36%
14°C 28%
12°C 18%
11°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$17 Объем
1%
9°C
$17 Объем
3%
10°C
$8 Объем
6%
11°C
$131 Объем
12%
12°C
$664 Объем
18%
13°C
$1,264 Объем
36%
14°C
$642 Объем
28%
15°C
$266 Объем
6%
16°C
$66 Объем
5%
17°C
$47 Объем
1%
18°C или выше
$71 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance shows clear skies and light winds favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling over London on August 22–23, supporting a daily minimum near 13–14 °C. Calm conditions under high pressure allow surface inversions to develop, while modest dew points limit further cooling. Slight differences among ECMWF, GFS, and UKMO runs hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Updated high-resolution forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow uncertainty before the 24-hour minimum is recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$3,194Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance shows clear skies and light winds favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling over London on August 22–23, supporting a daily minimum near 13–14 °C. Calm conditions under high pressure allow surface inversions to develop, while modest dew points limit further cooling. Slight differences among ECMWF, GFS, and UKMO runs hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Updated high-resolution forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow uncertainty before the 24-hour minimum is recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,194Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance shows clear skies and light winds favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling over London on August 22–23, supporting a daily minimum near 13–14 °C. Calm conditions under high pressure allow surface inversions to develop, while modest dew points limit further cooling. Slight differences among ECMWF, GFS, and UKMO runs hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Updated high-resolution forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow uncertainty before the 24-hour minimum is recorded at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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