Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a minimum temperature in Mexico City on August 23 near 12–14°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with the active rainy season. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while light northerly winds and dew points around 13°C support modest overnight drops. Trader consensus around 14°C reflects alignment with ensemble guidance showing typical August variability, where clearer breaks could allow 15°C readings and stronger cooling scenarios push toward lower thresholds, though official station data will determine resolution amid inherent model uncertainty in short-range predictions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 23 августа?
9°C или ниже 68%
15°C 44%
19°C или выше 43%
14°C 39%
9°C или ниже
68%
10°C
38%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
28%
14°C
39%
15°C
44%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
7%
19°C или выше
43%
9°C или ниже 68%
15°C 44%
19°C или выше 43%
14°C 39%
9°C или ниже
68%
10°C
38%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
28%
14°C
39%
15°C
44%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
7%
19°C или выше
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a minimum temperature in Mexico City on August 23 near 12–14°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with the active rainy season. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while light northerly winds and dew points around 13°C support modest overnight drops. Trader consensus around 14°C reflects alignment with ensemble guidance showing typical August variability, where clearer breaks could allow 15°C readings and stronger cooling scenarios push toward lower thresholds, though official station data will determine resolution amid inherent model uncertainty in short-range predictions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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