Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 19 июня?
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
84°F или выше 11%
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
40%
84°F или выше
11%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
84°F или выше 11%
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
40%
84°F или выше
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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