Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the mid-70s for New York City on August 11 amid a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 70°F, limiting radiative cooling. High moisture and potential overnight cloud cover or light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 74°F, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan tends to keep readings 2–4°F above surrounding suburbs. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 74–77°F because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the official minimum at the Central Park station. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, yet the month’s above-normal temperature outlook supports the market’s slight upward bias.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 11 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 11 августа?
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F или выше
1%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$17 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$22 Объем
2%
68-69°F
$28 Объем
3%
70-71°F
$30 Объем
3%
72-73°F
$101 Объем
3%
74-75°F
$35 Объем
30%
76-77°F
$4 Объем
33%
78-79°F
$1 Объем
14%
80-81°F
$29 Объем
5%
82-83°F
$223 Объем
1%
84°F или выше
$12 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the mid-70s for New York City on August 11 amid a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 70°F, limiting radiative cooling. High moisture and potential overnight cloud cover or light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 74°F, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan tends to keep readings 2–4°F above surrounding suburbs. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 74–77°F because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the official minimum at the Central Park station. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, yet the month’s above-normal temperature outlook supports the market’s slight upward bias.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$502Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the mid-70s for New York City on August 11 amid a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 70°F, limiting radiative cooling. High moisture and potential overnight cloud cover or light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 74°F, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan tends to keep readings 2–4°F above surrounding suburbs. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 74–77°F because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the official minimum at the Central Park station. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, yet the month’s above-normal temperature outlook supports the market’s slight upward bias.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$502Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the mid-70s for New York City on August 11 amid a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 70°F, limiting radiative cooling. High moisture and potential overnight cloud cover or light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 74°F, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan tends to keep readings 2–4°F above surrounding suburbs. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 74–77°F because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the official minimum at the Central Park station. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, yet the month’s above-normal temperature outlook supports the market’s slight upward bias.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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