Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s across New York City on August 23, driven by mild southerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points remaining elevated near 65°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minimums hover around 67°F, and support the market's heaviest weighting on 70-71°F at 44% implied probability. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty, with any stronger northerly shift or clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward 66-68°F. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 23 августа?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 26%
66-67°F 16%
72-73°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
59°F or below
4%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 26%
66-67°F 16%
72-73°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
59°F or below
$5 Объем
4%
60-61°F
$5 Объем
7%
62-63°F
$15 Объем
11%
64-65°F
$61 Объем
9%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
16%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
26%
70-71°F
$1 Объем
44%
72-73°F
$10 Объем
16%
74-75°F
$10 Объем
5%
76-77°F
$30 Объем
2%
78°F or higher
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s across New York City on August 23, driven by mild southerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points remaining elevated near 65°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minimums hover around 67°F, and support the market's heaviest weighting on 70-71°F at 44% implied probability. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty, with any stronger northerly shift or clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward 66-68°F. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$143Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s across New York City on August 23, driven by mild southerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points remaining elevated near 65°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minimums hover around 67°F, and support the market's heaviest weighting on 70-71°F at 44% implied probability. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty, with any stronger northerly shift or clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward 66-68°F. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$143Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s across New York City on August 23, driven by mild southerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points remaining elevated near 65°F. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minimums hover around 67°F, and support the market's heaviest weighting on 70-71°F at 44% implied probability. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty, with any stronger northerly shift or clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward 66-68°F. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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