Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 июля?
72-73°F 97.6%
70-71°F 1.3%
64-65°F <1%
59°F или ниже <1%
$11,630 Объем
$11,630 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F или выше
<1%
72-73°F 97.6%
70-71°F 1.3%
64-65°F <1%
59°F или ниже <1%
$11,630 Объем
$11,630 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
$566 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$747 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$689 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$1,116 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$1,034 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$1,149 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$1,038 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$2,080 Объем
98%
74-75°F
$2,047 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$684 Объем
<1%
78°F или выше
$482 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Объем
$11,630Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,630Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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