Current forecasts from Météo-France and complementary models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Paris near 10°C on June 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and minimal overnight radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This positions 10°C as the market leader at 76.5% implied probability, with 9°C holding secondary support at 14.5% amid slight model spread on exact cooling rates. Seasonal norms for mid-June lows average 12–15°C, but recent cooler patterns with scattered light rain have suppressed temperatures, aligning trader consensus with official guidance on the 10–19°C daily range. New model runs and morning observations will refine resolution near the 10°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 11 июня?
10°C 82%
9°C 15%
11°C 2%
8°C 1.0%
6°C или ниже
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
15%
10°C
76%
11°C
20%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C или выше
<1%
10°C 82%
9°C 15%
11°C 2%
8°C 1.0%
6°C или ниже
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
15%
10°C
76%
11°C
20%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and complementary models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Paris near 10°C on June 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and minimal overnight radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This positions 10°C as the market leader at 76.5% implied probability, with 9°C holding secondary support at 14.5% amid slight model spread on exact cooling rates. Seasonal norms for mid-June lows average 12–15°C, but recent cooler patterns with scattered light rain have suppressed temperatures, aligning trader consensus with official guidance on the 10–19°C daily range. New model runs and morning observations will refine resolution near the 10°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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