Current numerical weather predictions for Paris on September 11 point to a minimum near 13–14°C, driven by light nocturnal winds, partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling, and a mild southwesterly airmass with dew points around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads from models such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in that range, though slight differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages (low 11.9°C) provide context, yet recent mild conditions have supported the warmer forecast. Market-implied odds, led closely by 13°C, aggregate trader assessment of these variables and model consensus ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 11 сентября?
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C 19%
11°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
7%
11°C
17%
12°C
19%
13°C
32%
14°C
40%
15°C
16%
16°C
14%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C или выше
3%
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C 19%
11°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$0 Объем
7%
11°C
$0 Объем
17%
12°C
$0 Объем
19%
13°C
$318 Объем
32%
14°C
$0 Объем
40%
15°C
$0 Объем
16%
16°C
$0 Объем
14%
17°C
$0 Объем
3%
18°C
$0 Объем
3%
19°C
$0 Объем
3%
20°C или выше
$0 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather predictions for Paris on September 11 point to a minimum near 13–14°C, driven by light nocturnal winds, partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling, and a mild southwesterly airmass with dew points around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads from models such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in that range, though slight differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages (low 11.9°C) provide context, yet recent mild conditions have supported the warmer forecast. Market-implied odds, led closely by 13°C, aggregate trader assessment of these variables and model consensus ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$318Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather predictions for Paris on September 11 point to a minimum near 13–14°C, driven by light nocturnal winds, partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling, and a mild southwesterly airmass with dew points around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads from models such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in that range, though slight differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages (low 11.9°C) provide context, yet recent mild conditions have supported the warmer forecast. Market-implied odds, led closely by 13°C, aggregate trader assessment of these variables and model consensus ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$318Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather predictions for Paris on September 11 point to a minimum near 13–14°C, driven by light nocturnal winds, partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling, and a mild southwesterly airmass with dew points around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads from models such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in that range, though slight differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages (low 11.9°C) provide context, yet recent mild conditions have supported the warmer forecast. Market-implied odds, led closely by 13°C, aggregate trader assessment of these variables and model consensus ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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