Latest meteorological model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a minimum around 12–14°C on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and strong nighttime radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of southern winter. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the urban surface, though the urban heat island effect in São Paulo and modest dew points near 11–12°C may limit how far temperatures fall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud cover or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C, while the modest probability on much warmer or colder outcomes reflects low likelihood of significant frontal passages or anomalous moisture intrusion before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?
18°C or higher 65%
12°C 56%
8°C or below 43%
13°C 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
43%
9°C
18%
10°C
11%
11°C
27%
12°C
35%
13°C
32%
14°C
28%
15°C
25%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
65%
18°C or higher 65%
12°C 56%
8°C or below 43%
13°C 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$15 Объем
43%
9°C
$0 Объем
18%
10°C
$0 Объем
11%
11°C
$0 Объем
27%
12°C
$16 Объем
35%
13°C
$0 Объем
32%
14°C
$0 Объем
28%
15°C
$0 Объем
25%
16°C
$0 Объем
3%
17°C
$5 Объем
6%
18°C or higher
$40 Объем
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a minimum around 12–14°C on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and strong nighttime radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of southern winter. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the urban surface, though the urban heat island effect in São Paulo and modest dew points near 11–12°C may limit how far temperatures fall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud cover or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C, while the modest probability on much warmer or colder outcomes reflects low likelihood of significant frontal passages or anomalous moisture intrusion before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$77Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a minimum around 12–14°C on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and strong nighttime radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of southern winter. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the urban surface, though the urban heat island effect in São Paulo and modest dew points near 11–12°C may limit how far temperatures fall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud cover or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C, while the modest probability on much warmer or colder outcomes reflects low likelihood of significant frontal passages or anomalous moisture intrusion before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$77Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a minimum around 12–14°C on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and strong nighttime radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of southern winter. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the urban surface, though the urban heat island effect in São Paulo and modest dew points near 11–12°C may limit how far temperatures fall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud cover or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C, while the modest probability on much warmer or colder outcomes reflects low likelihood of significant frontal passages or anomalous moisture intrusion before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы