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icon for Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?

21°C or below 51%

22°C 43%

26°C 29%

27°C 29%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

21°C or below 51%

22°C 43%

26°C 29%

27°C 29%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

21°C or below

$5,276 Объем

51%

22°C

$5 Объем

43%

23°C

$0 Объем

23%

24°C

$0 Объем

23%

25°C

$0 Объем

23%

26°C

$0 Объем

29%

27°C

$0 Объем

29%

28°C

$75 Объем

23%

29°C

$60 Объем

12%

30°C

$75 Объем

5%

31°C or higher

$1,969 Объем

11%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 24 low reflects high uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling amid typical late-summer conditions, with market odds clustered near 26–27°C alongside notable probability on cooler outcomes. August climatology features overnight lows around 26°C under high humidity and frequent showers, but variable cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and any typhoon-related steering flows can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it through increased mixing. Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to showers and 26–29°C ranges for the period, while model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects. This genuine forecast spread, typical for tropical monsoon environments two days out, explains the balanced probabilities rather than any single dominant scenario.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,460
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 24 low reflects high uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling amid typical late-summer conditions, with market odds clustered near 26–27°C alongside notable probability on cooler outcomes. August climatology features overnight lows around 26°C under high humidity and frequent showers, but variable cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and any typhoon-related steering flows can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it through increased mixing. Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to showers and 26–29°C ranges for the period, while model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects. This genuine forecast spread, typical for tropical monsoon environments two days out, explains the balanced probabilities rather than any single dominant scenario.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,460
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «26°C» с 29%, за ним следует «27°C» с 29%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 29¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?» — «26°C» с 29%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Следующий ближайший исход — «27°C» с 29%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.