Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 21 августа?
21°C или ниже 71%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
26°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
71%
22°C
58%
23°C
59%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
1%
21°C или ниже 71%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
26°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$151 Объем
71%
22°C
$145 Объем
58%
23°C
$144 Объем
59%
24°C
$39 Объем
34%
25°C
$39 Объем
34%
26°C
$0 Объем
34%
27°C
$20 Объем
57%
28°C
$129 Объем
<1%
29°C
$266 Объем
<1%
30°C
$346 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$379 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Объем
$1,659Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,659Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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