Current forecast consensus from MetService and global models indicates Wellington’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots that limit radiative cooling while variable cloud cover reduces heat loss overnight. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, with stronger winds or clearer skies potentially pushing readings lower and increased moisture or frontal influence keeping them higher. This uncertainty among closely matched market-implied odds for 11–12 °C versus colder or warmer extremes reflects typical spring variability in the region, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 16 сентября?
17°C или выше 94%
7°C или ниже 57%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
57%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
22%
11°C
28%
12°C
30%
13°C
23%
14°C
40%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C или выше
94%
17°C или выше 94%
7°C или ниже 57%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
57%
8°C
$32 Объем
40%
9°C
$0 Объем
40%
10°C
$0 Объем
22%
11°C
$0 Объем
28%
12°C
$0 Объем
30%
13°C
$125 Объем
23%
14°C
$0 Объем
40%
15°C
$0 Объем
2%
16°C
$0 Объем
1%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from MetService and global models indicates Wellington’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots that limit radiative cooling while variable cloud cover reduces heat loss overnight. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, with stronger winds or clearer skies potentially pushing readings lower and increased moisture or frontal influence keeping them higher. This uncertainty among closely matched market-implied odds for 11–12 °C versus colder or warmer extremes reflects typical spring variability in the region, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$157Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from MetService and global models indicates Wellington’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots that limit radiative cooling while variable cloud cover reduces heat loss overnight. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, with stronger winds or clearer skies potentially pushing readings lower and increased moisture or frontal influence keeping them higher. This uncertainty among closely matched market-implied odds for 11–12 °C versus colder or warmer extremes reflects typical spring variability in the region, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$157Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from MetService and global models indicates Wellington’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots that limit radiative cooling while variable cloud cover reduces heat loss overnight. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, with stronger winds or clearer skies potentially pushing readings lower and increased moisture or frontal influence keeping them higher. This uncertainty among closely matched market-implied odds for 11–12 °C versus colder or warmer extremes reflects typical spring variability in the region, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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