Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a southerly wind shift on September 17 following northerly flow, with rain likely and clearing skies overnight that could allow radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 14°C and minimums potentially reaching 6–9°C, depending on the timing of the front and cloud cover, which directly influences the overnight low. Model spreads in temperature and precipitation timing create tight clustering around 8–10°C outcomes in trader pricing, as small variations in wind strength or clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 8°C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 17 сентября?
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
8°C 25%
7°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
5%
5°C
7%
6°C
11%
7°C
19%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
27%
11°C
19%
12°C
11%
13°C
2%
14°C или выше
2%
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
8°C 25%
7°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
$0 Объем
5%
5°C
$0 Объем
7%
6°C
$0 Объем
11%
7°C
$0 Объем
19%
8°C
$0 Объем
25%
9°C
$0 Объем
29%
10°C
$0 Объем
27%
11°C
$0 Объем
19%
12°C
$0 Объем
11%
13°C
$0 Объем
2%
14°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a southerly wind shift on September 17 following northerly flow, with rain likely and clearing skies overnight that could allow radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 14°C and minimums potentially reaching 6–9°C, depending on the timing of the front and cloud cover, which directly influences the overnight low. Model spreads in temperature and precipitation timing create tight clustering around 8–10°C outcomes in trader pricing, as small variations in wind strength or clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 8°C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a southerly wind shift on September 17 following northerly flow, with rain likely and clearing skies overnight that could allow radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 14°C and minimums potentially reaching 6–9°C, depending on the timing of the front and cloud cover, which directly influences the overnight low. Model spreads in temperature and precipitation timing create tight clustering around 8–10°C outcomes in trader pricing, as small variations in wind strength or clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 8°C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a southerly wind shift on September 17 following northerly flow, with rain likely and clearing skies overnight that could allow radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 14°C and minimums potentially reaching 6–9°C, depending on the timing of the front and cloud cover, which directly influences the overnight low. Model spreads in temperature and precipitation timing create tight clustering around 8–10°C outcomes in trader pricing, as small variations in wind strength or clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 8°C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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