Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 24 августа?
32°C или выше 88%
22°C или ниже 87%
31°C 87%
30°C 51%
22°C или ниже
87%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
46%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
87%
32°C или выше
88%
32°C или выше 88%
22°C или ниже 87%
31°C 87%
30°C 51%
22°C или ниже
87%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
46%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
87%
32°C или выше
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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