**Forecast models from sources including China's National Meteorological Center and international outlets show a consensus minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 10 around 18–21°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling in the region's subtropical climate.** This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with recent days featuring highs near 30°C dropping to lows in the low 20s. Trader sentiment favoring 16°C or below (36.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential model spread on wind strength, or hedging against a cooler anomaly, while 18–20°C buckets capture the bulk of the distribution. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with no major synoptic disruptions expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 10 сентября?
16°C или ниже 47%
26°C или выше 44%
24°C 38%
23°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
47%
17°C
21%
18°C
27%
19°C
32%
20°C
23%
21°C
18%
22°C
14%
23°C
37%
24°C
38%
25°C
37%
26°C или выше
44%
16°C или ниже 47%
26°C или выше 44%
24°C 38%
23°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$10 Объем
47%
17°C
$0 Объем
21%
18°C
$0 Объем
27%
19°C
$0 Объем
32%
20°C
$0 Объем
23%
21°C
$0 Объем
18%
22°C
$0 Объем
14%
23°C
$0 Объем
37%
24°C
$25 Объем
38%
25°C
$61 Объем
37%
26°C или выше
$40 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including China's National Meteorological Center and international outlets show a consensus minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 10 around 18–21°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling in the region's subtropical climate.**
This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with recent days featuring highs near 30°C dropping to lows in the low 20s. Trader sentiment favoring 16°C or below (36.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential model spread on wind strength, or hedging against a cooler anomaly, while 18–20°C buckets capture the bulk of the distribution. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with no major synoptic disruptions expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$136Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including China's National Meteorological Center and international outlets show a consensus minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 10 around 18–21°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling in the region's subtropical climate.**
This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with recent days featuring highs near 30°C dropping to lows in the low 20s. Trader sentiment favoring 16°C or below (36.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential model spread on wind strength, or hedging against a cooler anomaly, while 18–20°C buckets capture the bulk of the distribution. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with no major synoptic disruptions expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$136Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including China's National Meteorological Center and international outlets show a consensus minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 10 around 18–21°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling in the region's subtropical climate.** This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with recent days featuring highs near 30°C dropping to lows in the low 20s. Trader sentiment favoring 16°C or below (36.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential model spread on wind strength, or hedging against a cooler anomaly, while 18–20°C buckets capture the bulk of the distribution. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with no major synoptic disruptions expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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