Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 amid escalated U.S.-Israel strikes. He has issued written statements on topics including Strait of Hormuz management and regional security but has made no verified public appearances since, prompting reports of health complications, treatment in Qom, or strict internal seclusion driven by assassination risks. Iranian officials have countered with claims of full recovery and AI-assisted messaging to maintain continuity. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence over decision-making, and the regime's emphasis on internal stability have kept trader focus on whether acute military or health pressures could force an exit before mid-2026 deadlines, though no confirmed departures have materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,150,354 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
31 мая
1%
30 июня
3%
$1,150,354 Объем
31 мая
$115,397 Объем
1%
30 июня
$63,347 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 amid escalated U.S.-Israel strikes. He has issued written statements on topics including Strait of Hormuz management and regional security but has made no verified public appearances since, prompting reports of health complications, treatment in Qom, or strict internal seclusion driven by assassination risks. Iranian officials have countered with claims of full recovery and AI-assisted messaging to maintain continuity. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence over decision-making, and the regime's emphasis on internal stability have kept trader focus on whether acute military or health pressures could force an exit before mid-2026 deadlines, though no confirmed departures have materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Объем
$1,150,354Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 amid escalated U.S.-Israel strikes. He has issued written statements on topics including Strait of Hormuz management and regional security but has made no verified public appearances since, prompting reports of health complications, treatment in Qom, or strict internal seclusion driven by assassination risks. Iranian officials have countered with claims of full recovery and AI-assisted messaging to maintain continuity. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence over decision-making, and the regime's emphasis on internal stability have kept trader focus on whether acute military or health pressures could force an exit before mid-2026 deadlines, though no confirmed departures have materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,150,354Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 amid escalated U.S.-Israel strikes. He has issued written statements on topics including Strait of Hormuz management and regional security but has made no verified public appearances since, prompting reports of health complications, treatment in Qom, or strict internal seclusion driven by assassination risks. Iranian officials have countered with claims of full recovery and AI-assisted messaging to maintain continuity. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence over decision-making, and the regime's emphasis on internal stability have kept trader focus on whether acute military or health pressures could force an exit before mid-2026 deadlines, though no confirmed departures have materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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