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Политика·Демократическая праймериз

NY-21 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NY-21 Republican Primary Winner
Политика·Демократическая праймериз

NY-21 Republican Primary Winner

НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Anthony Constantino

$1,726 Объем

80%

Robert Smullen

$1,251 Объем

21%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 Republican primary** due primarily to President Trump's endorsement, which has consolidated support among voters prioritizing alignment with the national party direction. As a political outsider and CEO of Sticker Mule, Constantino has highlighted his business record on manufacturing, jobs, and economic development across the district's 15 counties. Robert Smullen, the state Assembly member and former Marine colonel, counters with institutional backing from the New York Republican Party and most county committees, stressing his legislative experience and district knowledge. The contest, set for June 23 with early voting underway, features debates and personal exchanges but has seen no major late shifts; Trump's endorsement remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$2,977
Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 Republican primary** due primarily to President Trump's endorsement, which has consolidated support among voters prioritizing alignment with the national party direction. As a political outsider and CEO of Sticker Mule, Constantino has highlighted his business record on manufacturing, jobs, and economic development across the district's 15 counties. Robert Smullen, the state Assembly member and former Marine colonel, counters with institutional backing from the New York Republican Party and most county committees, stressing his legislative experience and district knowledge. The contest, set for June 23 with early voting underway, features debates and personal exchanges but has seen no major late shifts; Trump's endorsement remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$2,977
Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«NY-21 Republican Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Anthony Constantino» с 80%, за ним следует «Robert Smullen» с 21%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 80¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«NY-21 Republican Primary Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 20, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «NY-21 Republican Primary Winner», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «NY-21 Republican Primary Winner» — «Anthony Constantino» с 80%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Robert Smullen» с 21%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «NY-21 Republican Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.