Houthis seized Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, following a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal areas from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces, who withdrew without major resistance. The move gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing the strait’s shipping channels, complementing their hold on Yemen’s western coastline and adding leverage amid broader regional tensions involving Iran, Saudi Arabia, and shipping routes. Saudi airstrikes have targeted Houthi positions in response, though direct external intervention remains limited. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations, yet short-term consolidation appears feasible given surrounding territorial control. Market resolution on loss of Houthi control would hinge on verifiable shifts via military action, withdrawals, or agreements within any specified timeframe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
4%
31 октября
15%
31 декабря
26%
$9,486 Объем
30 сентября
$1,730 Объем
4%
31 октября
$4,575 Объем
15%
31 декабря
$3,181 Объем
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, following a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal areas from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces, who withdrew without major resistance. The move gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing the strait’s shipping channels, complementing their hold on Yemen’s western coastline and adding leverage amid broader regional tensions involving Iran, Saudi Arabia, and shipping routes. Saudi airstrikes have targeted Houthi positions in response, though direct external intervention remains limited. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations, yet short-term consolidation appears feasible given surrounding territorial control. Market resolution on loss of Houthi control would hinge on verifiable shifts via military action, withdrawals, or agreements within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Объем
$9,486Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, following a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal areas from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces, who withdrew without major resistance. The move gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing the strait’s shipping channels, complementing their hold on Yemen’s western coastline and adding leverage amid broader regional tensions involving Iran, Saudi Arabia, and shipping routes. Saudi airstrikes have targeted Houthi positions in response, though direct external intervention remains limited. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations, yet short-term consolidation appears feasible given surrounding territorial control. Market resolution on loss of Houthi control would hinge on verifiable shifts via military action, withdrawals, or agreements within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,486Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Houthis seized Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, following a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal areas from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces, who withdrew without major resistance. The move gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing the strait’s shipping channels, complementing their hold on Yemen’s western coastline and adding leverage amid broader regional tensions involving Iran, Saudi Arabia, and shipping routes. Saudi airstrikes have targeted Houthi positions in response, though direct external intervention remains limited. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations, yet short-term consolidation appears feasible given surrounding territorial control. Market resolution on loss of Houthi control would hinge on verifiable shifts via military action, withdrawals, or agreements within any specified timeframe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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