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Технологии·Big Tech

Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?

icon for Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?
Технологии·Big Tech

Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?

Polymarket

$1,627,646 Объем

Polymarket

$1,627,646 Объем

>$1 трлн

$316,900 Объем

96%

>$1,2 трлн

$216,264 Объем

96%

>$1,4 трлн

$97,710 Объем

93%

>$1,6 трлн

$74,337 Объем

91%

>$1,8 трлн

$56,112 Объем

79%

>$2 трлн

$229,395 Объем

64%

>$2,2 трлн

$49,196 Объем

50%

>$2,4 трлн

$137,044 Объем

36%

>$3T

$450,686 Объем

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and subsequent roadshow slated for June 8 have positioned the company for a late-June IPO targeting a closing market cap above $2 trillion, driven by its leadership in reusable launch vehicles and Starlink's rapid subscriber growth. Recent private valuations climbed from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to over $1.25 trillion following the xAI merger, with analysts citing strong revenue from NASA contracts and commercial launches as key supports. Traders are weighing this against elevated price-to-sales multiples exceeding 50 times 2025 revenue and potential volatility from Starship development timelines or regulatory hurdles. Upcoming catalysts include final IPO pricing details and any fresh Starlink performance metrics that could shift sentiment on sustainable growth.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Объем
$1,627,646
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and subsequent roadshow slated for June 8 have positioned the company for a late-June IPO targeting a closing market cap above $2 trillion, driven by its leadership in reusable launch vehicles and Starlink's rapid subscriber growth. Recent private valuations climbed from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to over $1.25 trillion following the xAI merger, with analysts citing strong revenue from NASA contracts and commercial launches as key supports. Traders are weighing this against elevated price-to-sales multiples exceeding 50 times 2025 revenue and potential volatility from Starship development timelines or regulatory hurdles. Upcoming catalysts include final IPO pricing details and any fresh Starlink performance metrics that could shift sentiment on sustainable growth.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Объем
$1,627,646
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «>$1 трлн» с 96%, за ним следует «>$1,2 трлн» с 96%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 96¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.6 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 11, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» — «>$1 трлн» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Следующий ближайший исход — «>$1,2 трлн» с 96%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Закрытие IPO SpaceX рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.