Traders price a 76.5% "No" probability on a snap election in 2026, reflecting Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's firm commitments to seek re-election in the scheduled 2027 general election no later than August, despite trailing polls favoring the opposition Popular Party (PP). Early 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalusia inflicted losses on Sánchez's PSOE and strained its minority government coalition, yet no no-confidence vote or Cortes Generales dissolution has materialized. Absent recent legislative deadlocks, scandals, or party revolts—following Sánchez's April parliamentary defense of government stability—the wisdom of crowds anticipates continuity through the full term, with opposition pacts between PP and Vox focused on 2027 battlegrounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$18,835 Объем
$18,835 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$18,835 Объем
$18,835 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders price a 76.5% "No" probability on a snap election in 2026, reflecting Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's firm commitments to seek re-election in the scheduled 2027 general election no later than August, despite trailing polls favoring the opposition Popular Party (PP). Early 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalusia inflicted losses on Sánchez's PSOE and strained its minority government coalition, yet no no-confidence vote or Cortes Generales dissolution has materialized. Absent recent legislative deadlocks, scandals, or party revolts—following Sánchez's April parliamentary defense of government stability—the wisdom of crowds anticipates continuity through the full term, with opposition pacts between PP and Vox focused on 2027 battlegrounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$18,835Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders price a 76.5% "No" probability on a snap election in 2026, reflecting Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's firm commitments to seek re-election in the scheduled 2027 general election no later than August, despite trailing polls favoring the opposition Popular Party (PP). Early 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalusia inflicted losses on Sánchez's PSOE and strained its minority government coalition, yet no no-confidence vote or Cortes Generales dissolution has materialized. Absent recent legislative deadlocks, scandals, or party revolts—following Sánchez's April parliamentary defense of government stability—the wisdom of crowds anticipates continuity through the full term, with opposition pacts between PP and Vox focused on 2027 battlegrounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$18,835Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price a 76.5% "No" probability on a snap election in 2026, reflecting Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's firm commitments to seek re-election in the scheduled 2027 general election no later than August, despite trailing polls favoring the opposition Popular Party (PP). Early 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalusia inflicted losses on Sánchez's PSOE and strained its minority government coalition, yet no no-confidence vote or Cortes Generales dissolution has materialized. Absent recent legislative deadlocks, scandals, or party revolts—following Sánchez's April parliamentary defense of government stability—the wisdom of crowds anticipates continuity through the full term, with opposition pacts between PP and Vox focused on 2027 battlegrounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы