Spain's Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes to pass a constructive no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a threshold the opposition Partido Popular has not secured. Key supporting parties, including Catalan groups such as Junts, have signaled they will not back any motion that risks transferring power to a PP-Vox alliance, citing concerns over far-right influence. Recent regional election setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations have intensified opposition calls for Sánchez's removal, yet no parliamentary arithmetic or procedural steps indicate an imminent vote before the June 30 cutoff. Trader consensus at 95.5% for "No" reflects these stable coalition dynamics. A rapid realignment among nationalist parties or an unexpected floor vote triggered by new disclosures could still alter the outcome in the narrow remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes to pass a constructive no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a threshold the opposition Partido Popular has not secured. Key supporting parties, including Catalan groups such as Junts, have signaled they will not back any motion that risks transferring power to a PP-Vox alliance, citing concerns over far-right influence. Recent regional election setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations have intensified opposition calls for Sánchez's removal, yet no parliamentary arithmetic or procedural steps indicate an imminent vote before the June 30 cutoff. Trader consensus at 95.5% for "No" reflects these stable coalition dynamics. A rapid realignment among nationalist parties or an unexpected floor vote triggered by new disclosures could still alter the outcome in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$6,458Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes to pass a constructive no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a threshold the opposition Partido Popular has not secured. Key supporting parties, including Catalan groups such as Junts, have signaled they will not back any motion that risks transferring power to a PP-Vox alliance, citing concerns over far-right influence. Recent regional election setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations have intensified opposition calls for Sánchez's removal, yet no parliamentary arithmetic or procedural steps indicate an imminent vote before the June 30 cutoff. Trader consensus at 95.5% for "No" reflects these stable coalition dynamics. A rapid realignment among nationalist parties or an unexpected floor vote triggered by new disclosures could still alter the outcome in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$6,458Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes to pass a constructive no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a threshold the opposition Partido Popular has not secured. Key supporting parties, including Catalan groups such as Junts, have signaled they will not back any motion that risks transferring power to a PP-Vox alliance, citing concerns over far-right influence. Recent regional election setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations have intensified opposition calls for Sánchez's removal, yet no parliamentary arithmetic or procedural steps indicate an imminent vote before the June 30 cutoff. Trader consensus at 95.5% for "No" reflects these stable coalition dynamics. A rapid realignment among nationalist parties or an unexpected floor vote triggered by new disclosures could still alter the outcome in the narrow remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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