United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong organizational networks, and consistent backing from the Kremlin and President Putin. The tightly controlled political environment limits genuine opposition, with registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People largely aligned on core policies including support for the Ukraine conflict, while stricter barriers have sidelined more critical groups like Yabloko. State polling averages show United Russia far ahead, and procedural factors including ballot positioning and multi-day voting further reinforce its edge. Trader consensus at 97% captures this structural dominance ahead of the simultaneous national parliamentary vote, though late shifts in turnout or localized administrative issues could theoretically alter seat distributions in the mixed proportional and single-member system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 97.0%
New People 1.4%
Rodina 1.3%
Communists of Russia <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
97%
New People
1%
Rodina
1%
Communists of Russia
1%
A Just Russia
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
The Greens
16%
CPRF
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia 97.0%
New People 1.4%
Rodina 1.3%
Communists of Russia <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
$1,343 Объем
97%
New People
$869 Объем
1%
Rodina
$347 Объем
1%
Communists of Russia
$284 Объем
1%
A Just Russia
$604 Объем
1%
Party of Pensioners
$592 Объем
<1%
The Greens
$492 Объем
16%
CPRF
$347 Объем
<1%
LDPR
$352 Объем
<1%
Yabloko
$362 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong organizational networks, and consistent backing from the Kremlin and President Putin. The tightly controlled political environment limits genuine opposition, with registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People largely aligned on core policies including support for the Ukraine conflict, while stricter barriers have sidelined more critical groups like Yabloko. State polling averages show United Russia far ahead, and procedural factors including ballot positioning and multi-day voting further reinforce its edge. Trader consensus at 97% captures this structural dominance ahead of the simultaneous national parliamentary vote, though late shifts in turnout or localized administrative issues could theoretically alter seat distributions in the mixed proportional and single-member system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Объем
$5,595Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong organizational networks, and consistent backing from the Kremlin and President Putin. The tightly controlled political environment limits genuine opposition, with registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People largely aligned on core policies including support for the Ukraine conflict, while stricter barriers have sidelined more critical groups like Yabloko. State polling averages show United Russia far ahead, and procedural factors including ballot positioning and multi-day voting further reinforce its edge. Trader consensus at 97% captures this structural dominance ahead of the simultaneous national parliamentary vote, though late shifts in turnout or localized administrative issues could theoretically alter seat distributions in the mixed proportional and single-member system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Объем
$5,595Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong organizational networks, and consistent backing from the Kremlin and President Putin. The tightly controlled political environment limits genuine opposition, with registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People largely aligned on core policies including support for the Ukraine conflict, while stricter barriers have sidelined more critical groups like Yabloko. State polling averages show United Russia far ahead, and procedural factors including ballot positioning and multi-day voting further reinforce its edge. Trader consensus at 97% captures this structural dominance ahead of the simultaneous national parliamentary vote, though late shifts in turnout or localized administrative issues could theoretically alter seat distributions in the mixed proportional and single-member system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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