United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, administrative resources, and a track record of securing majorities in the region’s mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, scheduled for 18–20 September alongside national legislative voting, features limited effective competition from other registered parties, consistent with patterns in prior cycles where United Russia captured the large majority of seats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical outcomes in Russian regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter results include unusually low turnout, major national developments affecting voter sentiment, or last-minute candidate or procedural changes, though such shifts face high barriers in the current environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 96.8%
CPRF 1.9%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
97%
CPRF
2%
New People
1%
Party of Pensioners
1%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.8%
CPRF 1.9%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
$5,754 Объем
97%
CPRF
$487 Объем
2%
New People
$243 Объем
1%
Party of Pensioners
$246 Объем
1%
LDPR
$232 Объем
<1%
A Just Russia
$435 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, administrative resources, and a track record of securing majorities in the region’s mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, scheduled for 18–20 September alongside national legislative voting, features limited effective competition from other registered parties, consistent with patterns in prior cycles where United Russia captured the large majority of seats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical outcomes in Russian regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter results include unusually low turnout, major national developments affecting voter sentiment, or last-minute candidate or procedural changes, though such shifts face high barriers in the current environment.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Объем
$7,396Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, administrative resources, and a track record of securing majorities in the region’s mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, scheduled for 18–20 September alongside national legislative voting, features limited effective competition from other registered parties, consistent with patterns in prior cycles where United Russia captured the large majority of seats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical outcomes in Russian regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter results include unusually low turnout, major national developments affecting voter sentiment, or last-minute candidate or procedural changes, though such shifts face high barriers in the current environment.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Объем
$7,396Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, administrative resources, and a track record of securing majorities in the region’s mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, scheduled for 18–20 September alongside national legislative voting, features limited effective competition from other registered parties, consistent with patterns in prior cycles where United Russia captured the large majority of seats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical outcomes in Russian regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter results include unusually low turnout, major national developments affecting voter sentiment, or last-minute candidate or procedural changes, though such shifts face high barriers in the current environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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