United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election market at 99.4% implied probability because preliminary results from the just-concluded 18–20 September vote show the party capturing roughly 63% of the party-list vote and all 25 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. This outcome aligns with the party's consistent regional dominance, the 5% threshold that limits smaller parties, and the governor's alignment with the federal ruling structure. Other listed parties trail far behind in seat projections. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a full recount reversing constituency results or an official reversal of preliminary tallies before final certification, could realistically alter the market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 99.0%
New People 1.4%
Rodina <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2027 г.
United Russia
99%
New People
1%
Rodina
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
CPRF
<1%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
The Greens
<1%
United Russia 99.0%
New People 1.4%
Rodina <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2027 г.
United Russia
$2,471 Объем
99%
New People
$384 Объем
1%
Rodina
$813 Объем
<1%
Communists of Russia
$1,230 Объем
<1%
Yabloko
$902 Объем
<1%
CPRF
$808 Объем
<1%
LDPR
$1,048 Объем
<1%
A Just Russia
$882 Объем
<1%
The Greens
$1,039 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election market at 99.4% implied probability because preliminary results from the just-concluded 18–20 September vote show the party capturing roughly 63% of the party-list vote and all 25 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. This outcome aligns with the party's consistent regional dominance, the 5% threshold that limits smaller parties, and the governor's alignment with the federal ruling structure. Other listed parties trail far behind in seat projections. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a full recount reversing constituency results or an official reversal of preliminary tallies before final certification, could realistically alter the market resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Объем
$9,578Дата окончания
1 авг. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election market at 99.4% implied probability because preliminary results from the just-concluded 18–20 September vote show the party capturing roughly 63% of the party-list vote and all 25 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. This outcome aligns with the party's consistent regional dominance, the 5% threshold that limits smaller parties, and the governor's alignment with the federal ruling structure. Other listed parties trail far behind in seat projections. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a full recount reversing constituency results or an official reversal of preliminary tallies before final certification, could realistically alter the market resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Объем
$9,578Дата окончания
1 авг. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election market at 99.4% implied probability because preliminary results from the just-concluded 18–20 September vote show the party capturing roughly 63% of the party-list vote and all 25 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. This outcome aligns with the party's consistent regional dominance, the 5% threshold that limits smaller parties, and the governor's alignment with the federal ruling structure. Other listed parties trail far behind in seat projections. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a full recount reversing constituency results or an official reversal of preliminary tallies before final certification, could realistically alter the market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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