Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust second-weekend hold, driving trader consensus toward the 150-160 million range. Early tracking and industry forecasts peg the frame in the low-to-mid 150s, supported by the film's franchise appeal, Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw, and minimal competition in early August. Recent Tuesday numbers exceeding $42 million underscore sustained momentum, while the picture's swift climb past $1 billion worldwide reinforces broad audience engagement. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with similar launches suggest a 45-55 percent drop remains plausible absent major negative word-of-mouth, though any softening in reviews or unseasonal weather could compress results toward lower brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
150-160 млн 59%
140-150 млн 27%
160-170 млн 7%
170-180 млн 5.6%
НОВОЕ
$11,752 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,752 Объем
9 авг. 2026 г.
<130 млн
<1%
130-140 млн
3%
140-150 млн
27%
150-160 млн
59%
160-170 млн
7%
170-180 млн
6%
180 млн+
1%
150-160 млн 59%
140-150 млн 27%
160-170 млн 7%
170-180 млн 5.6%
НОВОЕ
$11,752 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,752 Объем
9 авг. 2026 г.
<130 млн
$528 Объем
<1%
130-140 млн
$763 Объем
3%
140-150 млн
$2,765 Объем
27%
150-160 млн
$1,712 Объем
59%
160-170 млн
$3,275 Объем
7%
170-180 млн
$1,876 Объем
6%
180 млн+
$833 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust second-weekend hold, driving trader consensus toward the 150-160 million range. Early tracking and industry forecasts peg the frame in the low-to-mid 150s, supported by the film's franchise appeal, Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw, and minimal competition in early August. Recent Tuesday numbers exceeding $42 million underscore sustained momentum, while the picture's swift climb past $1 billion worldwide reinforces broad audience engagement. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with similar launches suggest a 45-55 percent drop remains plausible absent major negative word-of-mouth, though any softening in reviews or unseasonal weather could compress results toward lower brackets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Объем
$11,752Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust second-weekend hold, driving trader consensus toward the 150-160 million range. Early tracking and industry forecasts peg the frame in the low-to-mid 150s, supported by the film's franchise appeal, Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw, and minimal competition in early August. Recent Tuesday numbers exceeding $42 million underscore sustained momentum, while the picture's swift climb past $1 billion worldwide reinforces broad audience engagement. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with similar launches suggest a 45-55 percent drop remains plausible absent major negative word-of-mouth, though any softening in reviews or unseasonal weather could compress results toward lower brackets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$11,752Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust second-weekend hold, driving trader consensus toward the 150-160 million range. Early tracking and industry forecasts peg the frame in the low-to-mid 150s, supported by the film's franchise appeal, Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw, and minimal competition in early August. Recent Tuesday numbers exceeding $42 million underscore sustained momentum, while the picture's swift climb past $1 billion worldwide reinforces broad audience engagement. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with similar launches suggest a 45-55 percent drop remains plausible absent major negative word-of-mouth, though any softening in reviews or unseasonal weather could compress results toward lower brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?
98%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?
34%
Будет ли общий внутренний валовой доход фильма «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» по крайней мере 900 млн к 31 августа?
77%
Да
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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