Strong third-weekend holds from excellent audience reception and record-setting early performance have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a $70 million domestic haul, driving the 89.6% market-implied probability on the 70-72m outcome. The film delivered the second-highest third weekend ever at $70 million, down 51% from its prior frame, fueled by sustained theatrical demand and its status as a cultural tentpole ahead of historical comparables like "The Force Awakens." Pre-weekend tracking ranged $57-72 million, and final figures aligned tightly with the upper end of estimates amid minimal competition. Upcoming chart updates and any late adjustments could nudge the narrow band, but the current trajectory underscores trader consensus around this precise result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» 3-я касса выходного дня (Lower Strikes)
70-72m 89.6%
72 млн+ 9.3%
68-70m 2.2%
<66m <1%
$77,184 Объем
$77,184 Объем
<66m
<1%
66-68m
<1%
68-70m
2%
70-72m
90%
72 млн+
9%
70-72m 89.6%
72 млн+ 9.3%
68-70m 2.2%
<66m <1%
$77,184 Объем
$77,184 Объем
<66m
<1%
66-68m
<1%
68-70m
2%
70-72m
90%
72 млн+
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong third-weekend holds from excellent audience reception and record-setting early performance have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a $70 million domestic haul, driving the 89.6% market-implied probability on the 70-72m outcome. The film delivered the second-highest third weekend ever at $70 million, down 51% from its prior frame, fueled by sustained theatrical demand and its status as a cultural tentpole ahead of historical comparables like "The Force Awakens." Pre-weekend tracking ranged $57-72 million, and final figures aligned tightly with the upper end of estimates amid minimal competition. Upcoming chart updates and any late adjustments could nudge the narrow band, but the current trajectory underscores trader consensus around this precise result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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