**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUSD x Иранский риал Конец сентября?
USD x Иранский риал Конец сентября?
2,2 млн+ 62%
2,0–2,1 млн 15%
2,1–2,2 млн 11.3%
1,9–2,0 млн 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<1,7 млн
1%
1,7-1,8 млн
2%
1,8–1,9 млн
3%
1,9–2,0 млн
6%
2,0–2,1 млн
15%
2,1–2,2 млн
11%
2,2 млн+
62%
2,2 млн+ 62%
2,0–2,1 млн 15%
2,1–2,2 млн 11.3%
1,9–2,0 млн 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<1,7 млн
$459 Объем
1%
1,7-1,8 млн
$380 Объем
2%
1,8–1,9 млн
$378 Объем
3%
1,9–2,0 млн
$1,179 Объем
6%
2,0–2,1 млн
$2,372 Объем
15%
2,1–2,2 млн
$889 Объем
11%
2,2 млн+
$3,338 Объем
62%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Объем
$8,995Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$8,995Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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