**Persistent sanctions enforcement, sharply reduced oil export revenues from the ongoing US naval blockade, and elevated domestic inflation have kept the Iranian rial under sustained pressure in the free market, supporting the current trader consensus around the 2.2–2.5 million IRR per USD range at end-September.** As of mid-September 2026, street rates hover near 2.30–2.31 million IRR per dollar following a rapid depreciation earlier in the month that pushed the currency to record lows near 2.25 million. Key drivers include drastically curtailed crude loadings (down to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day from prior levels near 2 million), secondary sanctions targeting evasion networks, and the suspension of key trade channels such as with the UAE. Iranian central bank interventions have provided only limited stabilization, while high year-over-year inflation above 40% continues to erode purchasing power and confidence. With resolution just two weeks away and no immediate diplomatic or export relief materializing, market pricing reflects the view that these structural headwinds will hold the rate within the leading bin rather than trigger a sharp further slide or rebound.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2,2–2,5 млн 65%
2,5–2,8 млн 20%
<2,2 млн 11%
2,8–3,1 млн 4.3%
$26,697 Объем
$26,697 Объем
<2,2 млн
11%
2,2–2,5 млн
65%
2,5–2,8 млн
20%
2,8–3,1 млн
4%
3,1 млн+
2%
2,2–2,5 млн 65%
2,5–2,8 млн 20%
<2,2 млн 11%
2,8–3,1 млн 4.3%
$26,697 Объем
$26,697 Объем
<2,2 млн
11%
2,2–2,5 млн
65%
2,5–2,8 млн
20%
2,8–3,1 млн
4%
3,1 млн+
2%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent sanctions enforcement, sharply reduced oil export revenues from the ongoing US naval blockade, and elevated domestic inflation have kept the Iranian rial under sustained pressure in the free market, supporting the current trader consensus around the 2.2–2.5 million IRR per USD range at end-September.** As of mid-September 2026, street rates hover near 2.30–2.31 million IRR per dollar following a rapid depreciation earlier in the month that pushed the currency to record lows near 2.25 million. Key drivers include drastically curtailed crude loadings (down to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day from prior levels near 2 million), secondary sanctions targeting evasion networks, and the suspension of key trade channels such as with the UAE. Iranian central bank interventions have provided only limited stabilization, while high year-over-year inflation above 40% continues to erode purchasing power and confidence. With resolution just two weeks away and no immediate diplomatic or export relief materializing, market pricing reflects the view that these structural headwinds will hold the rate within the leading bin rather than trigger a sharp further slide or rebound.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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