Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 72.4% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominance across Arena.ai leaderboards as of May 12. Anthropic's latest release on April 16 showcased superior agentic coding (e.g., 77%+ on SWE-bench), long-context reasoning, and multimodal vision, securing the top four spots in Text Arena with Elo scores above 1490—well ahead of Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (1490 at #6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High (1484 at #8). No major rival announcements have shifted standings in the past week, but Google's I/O previews and regulatory pre-release testing for xAI/Grok could introduce catalysts before resolution. xAI trails at 2.7% amid narrower strengths in creative prompts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Какая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Anthropic 72.4%
Google 16%
OpenAI 8%
xAI 2.6%
$5,766,419 Объем
$5,766,419 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
72%
16%
OpenAI
8%
xAI
3%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 72.4%
Google 16%
OpenAI 8%
xAI 2.6%
$5,766,419 Объем
$5,766,419 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$823,340 Объем
72%
$503,224 Объем
16%
OpenAI
$330,115 Объем
8%
xAI
$1,053,484 Объем
3%
Meta
$127,160 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$493,047 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$153,508 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$292,839 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$360,397 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$350,769 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$462,676 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$143,766 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$149,069 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$371,283 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$151,745 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 72.4% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominance across Arena.ai leaderboards as of May 12. Anthropic's latest release on April 16 showcased superior agentic coding (e.g., 77%+ on SWE-bench), long-context reasoning, and multimodal vision, securing the top four spots in Text Arena with Elo scores above 1490—well ahead of Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (1490 at #6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High (1484 at #8). No major rival announcements have shifted standings in the past week, but Google's I/O previews and regulatory pre-release testing for xAI/Grok could introduce catalysts before resolution. xAI trails at 2.7% amid narrower strengths in creative prompts.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$5,766,419Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 72.4% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominance across Arena.ai leaderboards as of May 12. Anthropic's latest release on April 16 showcased superior agentic coding (e.g., 77%+ on SWE-bench), long-context reasoning, and multimodal vision, securing the top four spots in Text Arena with Elo scores above 1490—well ahead of Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (1490 at #6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High (1484 at #8). No major rival announcements have shifted standings in the past week, but Google's I/O previews and regulatory pre-release testing for xAI/Grok could introduce catalysts before resolution. xAI trails at 2.7% amid narrower strengths in creative prompts.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$5,766,419Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 72.4% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominance across Arena.ai leaderboards as of May 12. Anthropic's latest release on April 16 showcased superior agentic coding (e.g., 77%+ on SWE-bench), long-context reasoning, and multimodal vision, securing the top four spots in Text Arena with Elo scores above 1490—well ahead of Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (1490 at #6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 High (1484 at #8). No major rival announcements have shifted standings in the past week, but Google's I/O previews and regulatory pre-release testing for xAI/Grok could introduce catalysts before resolution. xAI trails at 2.7% amid narrower strengths in creative prompts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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