OpenAI’s April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 and its Pro variant has solidified the company’s lead on composite benchmarks and agentic workflows, leaving Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6/4.7 as the consensus runner-up through mid-May. Traders see Claude’s edge in coding, natural prose, and 1-million-token context handling as durable enough to hold second place through June absent a major new release. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews remain competitive on reasoning metrics but trail in overall developer adoption and ecosystem depth, while xAI’s Grok 4 updates have not yet closed the gap. With no frontier-model launches scheduled before the end of June, the 77.5% implied probability for Anthropic reflects this stable competitive ordering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Anthropic 77%
Google 15%
OpenAI 6.5%
xAI 2.6%
$400,677 Объем
$400,677 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
77%
15%
OpenAI
7%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
2%
Microsoft
1%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 77%
Google 15%
OpenAI 6.5%
xAI 2.6%
$400,677 Объем
$400,677 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$14,660 Объем
77%
$5,606 Объем
15%
OpenAI
$34,197 Объем
7%
xAI
$14,881 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$249,043 Объем
2%
Microsoft
$5,674 Объем
1%
Alibaba
$6,585 Объем
1%
Meta
$4,175 Объем
1%
Moonshot
$4,912 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$4,388 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$9,312 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$34,076 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$5,546 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$4,723 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$2,898 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI’s April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 and its Pro variant has solidified the company’s lead on composite benchmarks and agentic workflows, leaving Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6/4.7 as the consensus runner-up through mid-May. Traders see Claude’s edge in coding, natural prose, and 1-million-token context handling as durable enough to hold second place through June absent a major new release. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews remain competitive on reasoning metrics but trail in overall developer adoption and ecosystem depth, while xAI’s Grok 4 updates have not yet closed the gap. With no frontier-model launches scheduled before the end of June, the 77.5% implied probability for Anthropic reflects this stable competitive ordering.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$400,677Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI’s April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 and its Pro variant has solidified the company’s lead on composite benchmarks and agentic workflows, leaving Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6/4.7 as the consensus runner-up through mid-May. Traders see Claude’s edge in coding, natural prose, and 1-million-token context handling as durable enough to hold second place through June absent a major new release. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews remain competitive on reasoning metrics but trail in overall developer adoption and ecosystem depth, while xAI’s Grok 4 updates have not yet closed the gap. With no frontier-model launches scheduled before the end of June, the 77.5% implied probability for Anthropic reflects this stable competitive ordering.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$400,677Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 and its Pro variant has solidified the company’s lead on composite benchmarks and agentic workflows, leaving Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6/4.7 as the consensus runner-up through mid-May. Traders see Claude’s edge in coding, natural prose, and 1-million-token context handling as durable enough to hold second place through June absent a major new release. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews remain competitive on reasoning metrics but trail in overall developer adoption and ecosystem depth, while xAI’s Grok 4 updates have not yet closed the gap. With no frontier-model launches scheduled before the end of June, the 77.5% implied probability for Anthropic reflects this stable competitive ordering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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