Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family have established a clear lead on composite benchmarks and agentic tasks, pushing trader consensus toward Anthropic as the most likely holder of second place by end of June. Claude Opus 4.7 continues to post top scores in coding workflows and writing quality, maintaining a consistent gap over Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and xAI’s Grok 4.3 on leaderboards that reward reasoning depth and instruction following. With no frontier model launches confirmed for the next six weeks and historical patterns showing limited late-quarter surprises, the current ordering appears stable. Traders are also watching any incremental updates from Anthropic or Google that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Anthropic 72%
Google 15%
OpenAI 9.2%
xAI 2.8%
$400,986 Объем
$400,986 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
72%
15%
OpenAI
9%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Anthropic 72%
Google 15%
OpenAI 9.2%
xAI 2.8%
$400,986 Объем
$400,986 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$14,717 Объем
72%
$5,648 Объем
15%
OpenAI
$34,207 Объем
9%
xAI
$14,892 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$249,054 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$5,685 Объем
1%
Meta
$4,186 Объем
1%
Alibaba
$6,636 Объем
1%
Moonshot
$4,922 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$9,323 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$34,087 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$4,429 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$5,557 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$2,909 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$4,734 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family have established a clear lead on composite benchmarks and agentic tasks, pushing trader consensus toward Anthropic as the most likely holder of second place by end of June. Claude Opus 4.7 continues to post top scores in coding workflows and writing quality, maintaining a consistent gap over Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and xAI’s Grok 4.3 on leaderboards that reward reasoning depth and instruction following. With no frontier model launches confirmed for the next six weeks and historical patterns showing limited late-quarter surprises, the current ordering appears stable. Traders are also watching any incremental updates from Anthropic or Google that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$400,986Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family have established a clear lead on composite benchmarks and agentic tasks, pushing trader consensus toward Anthropic as the most likely holder of second place by end of June. Claude Opus 4.7 continues to post top scores in coding workflows and writing quality, maintaining a consistent gap over Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and xAI’s Grok 4.3 on leaderboards that reward reasoning depth and instruction following. With no frontier model launches confirmed for the next six weeks and historical patterns showing limited late-quarter surprises, the current ordering appears stable. Traders are also watching any incremental updates from Anthropic or Google that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$400,986Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family have established a clear lead on composite benchmarks and agentic tasks, pushing trader consensus toward Anthropic as the most likely holder of second place by end of June. Claude Opus 4.7 continues to post top scores in coding workflows and writing quality, maintaining a consistent gap over Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and xAI’s Grok 4.3 on leaderboards that reward reasoning depth and instruction following. With no frontier model launches confirmed for the next six weeks and historical patterns showing limited late-quarter surprises, the current ordering appears stable. Traders are also watching any incremental updates from Anthropic or Google that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы