Traders see a tight contest for the leading AI agent by end of August, with Anthropic holding a slim 53% implied edge amid broad uncertainty reflected in multiple 49-50% outcomes. Recent model updates have highlighted Anthropic’s strengths in reliable tool use, long-horizon planning, and safety-aligned agent behavior, while OpenAI and others continue rapid iteration on multi-step reasoning and browser or code execution capabilities. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance on complex tasks, developer ecosystem adoption, and regulatory scrutiny around autonomous systems. With roughly six weeks remaining, upcoming releases, capability demos, or third-party evaluations could quickly shift sentiment in this closely matched field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВ какой компании лучший агент искусственного интеллекта в конце августа?
В какой компании лучший агент искусственного интеллекта в конце августа?
Anthropic 55%
OpenAI 45%
Z.ai 44%
Moonshot 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
Anthropic
55%
OpenAI
45%
Z.ai
44%
Moonshot
44%
Alibaba
43%
Baidu
40%
Xiaomi
33%
MiniMax
33%
Nvidia
33%
32%
Meta
32%
Microsoft
32%
Mistral
32%
SpaceXAI
32%
ByteDance
32%
Amazon
31%
Meituan
29%
DeepSeek
22%
Anthropic 55%
OpenAI 45%
Z.ai 44%
Moonshot 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$6 Объем
55%
OpenAI
$0 Объем
45%
Z.ai
$0 Объем
44%
Moonshot
$0 Объем
44%
Alibaba
$0 Объем
43%
Baidu
$0 Объем
40%
Xiaomi
$0 Объем
33%
MiniMax
$0 Объем
33%
Nvidia
$33 Объем
33%
$0 Объем
32%
Meta
$0 Объем
32%
Microsoft
$33 Объем
32%
Mistral
$33 Объем
32%
SpaceXAI
$0 Объем
32%
ByteDance
$20 Объем
32%
Amazon
$39 Объем
31%
Meituan
$42 Объем
29%
DeepSeek
$0 Объем
22%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tight contest for the leading AI agent by end of August, with Anthropic holding a slim 53% implied edge amid broad uncertainty reflected in multiple 49-50% outcomes. Recent model updates have highlighted Anthropic’s strengths in reliable tool use, long-horizon planning, and safety-aligned agent behavior, while OpenAI and others continue rapid iteration on multi-step reasoning and browser or code execution capabilities. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance on complex tasks, developer ecosystem adoption, and regulatory scrutiny around autonomous systems. With roughly six weeks remaining, upcoming releases, capability demos, or third-party evaluations could quickly shift sentiment in this closely matched field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Объем
$206Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tight contest for the leading AI agent by end of August, with Anthropic holding a slim 53% implied edge amid broad uncertainty reflected in multiple 49-50% outcomes. Recent model updates have highlighted Anthropic’s strengths in reliable tool use, long-horizon planning, and safety-aligned agent behavior, while OpenAI and others continue rapid iteration on multi-step reasoning and browser or code execution capabilities. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance on complex tasks, developer ecosystem adoption, and regulatory scrutiny around autonomous systems. With roughly six weeks remaining, upcoming releases, capability demos, or third-party evaluations could quickly shift sentiment in this closely matched field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$206Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight contest for the leading AI agent by end of August, with Anthropic holding a slim 53% implied edge amid broad uncertainty reflected in multiple 49-50% outcomes. Recent model updates have highlighted Anthropic’s strengths in reliable tool use, long-horizon planning, and safety-aligned agent behavior, while OpenAI and others continue rapid iteration on multi-step reasoning and browser or code execution capabilities. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance on complex tasks, developer ecosystem adoption, and regulatory scrutiny around autonomous systems. With roughly six weeks remaining, upcoming releases, capability demos, or third-party evaluations could quickly shift sentiment in this closely matched field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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