OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.3% market-implied odds by claiming the top spot on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an Elo-style score near 1,800, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by roughly 35–40 points in crowdsourced evaluations of agentic frontend coding tasks. The model’s gains in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative web development workflows reflect targeted improvements over prior GPT variants, widening the gap versus open-weight entries from Moonshot, Alibaba, and others that cluster well below 1,700. With resolution at month-end and limited time for challengers to close the margin through updates or new benchmarks, trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s current demonstrated lead in this specific arena while leaving room for late leaderboard shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ какой компании лучшая модель Code Arena WebDev AI в конце сентября?
У какой компании лучшая модель Code Arena WebDev AI в конце сентября?
OpenAI 76.4%
Anthropic 25%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
$143,943 Объем
$143,943 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
OpenAI
76%
Anthropic
25%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 76.4%
Anthropic 25%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
$143,943 Объем
$143,943 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
OpenAI
$27,635 Объем
76%
Anthropic
$59,556 Объем
25%
$5,117 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$20,259 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 Объем
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 Объем
<1%
Meta
$3,137 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$560 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$571 Объем
<1%
Poolside
$641 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$789 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.3% market-implied odds by claiming the top spot on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an Elo-style score near 1,800, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by roughly 35–40 points in crowdsourced evaluations of agentic frontend coding tasks. The model’s gains in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative web development workflows reflect targeted improvements over prior GPT variants, widening the gap versus open-weight entries from Moonshot, Alibaba, and others that cluster well below 1,700. With resolution at month-end and limited time for challengers to close the margin through updates or new benchmarks, trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s current demonstrated lead in this specific arena while leaving room for late leaderboard shifts.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Объем
$143,943Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.3% market-implied odds by claiming the top spot on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an Elo-style score near 1,800, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by roughly 35–40 points in crowdsourced evaluations of agentic frontend coding tasks. The model’s gains in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative web development workflows reflect targeted improvements over prior GPT variants, widening the gap versus open-weight entries from Moonshot, Alibaba, and others that cluster well below 1,700. With resolution at month-end and limited time for challengers to close the margin through updates or new benchmarks, trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s current demonstrated lead in this specific arena while leaving room for late leaderboard shifts.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$143,943Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.3% market-implied odds by claiming the top spot on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an Elo-style score near 1,800, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by roughly 35–40 points in crowdsourced evaluations of agentic frontend coding tasks. The model’s gains in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative web development workflows reflect targeted improvements over prior GPT variants, widening the gap versus open-weight entries from Moonshot, Alibaba, and others that cluster well below 1,700. With resolution at month-end and limited time for challengers to close the margin through updates or new benchmarks, trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s current demonstrated lead in this specific arena while leaving room for late leaderboard shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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