OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ какой компании лучшая модель Code Arena WebDev AI в конце сентября?
У какой компании лучшая модель Code Arena WebDev AI в конце сентября?
OpenAI 79.6%
Anthropic 20%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,875 Объем
$148,875 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
OpenAI
80%
Anthropic
20%
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 79.6%
Anthropic 20%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,875 Объем
$148,875 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
OpenAI
$29,047 Объем
80%
Anthropic
$61,821 Объем
20%
$6,343 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$20,288 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 Объем
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 Объем
<1%
Meta
$3,137 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$560 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$571 Объем
<1%
Poolside
$641 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$789 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Объем
$148,875Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$148,875Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли Anthropic второй по рейтингу лабораторией Code Arena | WebDev AI к концу сентября 2026 года?
81%
Да
Станет ли Alibaba третьей по рейтингу лабораторией Code Arena | WebDev AI к концу сентября 2026 года?
68%
Да
Будет ли Z.ai второй лучшей лабораторией Code Arena | WebDev AI к концу ноября 2026 года?
30%
Да
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