Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце мая?
У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце мая?
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,013,776 Объем
$9,013,776 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Anthropic
91%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,013,776 Объем
$9,013,776 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Anthropic
$678,720 Объем
91%
$621,639 Объем
8%
OpenAI
$768,530 Объем
1%
ByteDance
$560,969 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$530,192 Объем
<1%
Meta
$590,148 Объем
<1%
xAI
$671,981 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$518,378 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$564,147 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$470,637 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$1,423,820 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$418,351 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Объем
$9,013,776Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$9,013,776Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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