US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$90,924 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Джаред Кушнер
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ишак Дар
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
8%
Ник Стюарт
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Марко Рубио
3%
Дж.Д. Вэнс
3%
Дональд Трамп
2%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,924 Объем
Джаред Кушнер
$13,340 Объем
11%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 Объем
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 Объем
10%
Ишак Дар
$2,622 Объем
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Объем
9%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Объем
8%
Ник Стюарт
$36 Объем
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 Объем
7%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Объем
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Объем
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Объем
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Объем
3%
Марко Рубио
$7,551 Объем
3%
Дж.Д. Вэнс
$10,868 Объем
3%
Дональд Трамп
$6,494 Объем
2%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
$3,234 Объем
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Объем
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 Объем
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Объем
$90,924Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$90,924Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Посетит ли Джаред Кушнер дипломатическую встречу между США и Ираном до 31 декабря 2026 года?
62%
Да
Состоится ли к 30 сентября 2026 года хотя бы одна соответствующая дипломатическая встреча между США и Ираном?
69%
Да
Объявит ли Иран о выходе из переговоров по Меморандуму о взаимопонимании до 15 августа?
<1%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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