The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances across the Atlantic basin with potential for tropical cyclone formation over the next seven days, leaving insufficient time for organization, intensification, and U.S. landfall before May 31. This aligns with the climatological record, where pre-June hurricanes are rare due to cooler sea-surface temperatures, higher wind shear, and the absence of African easterly waves strong enough to develop. Trader consensus at 95% for "No" reflects these conditions and the official season start on June 1. A sudden, undetected low-pressure system could theoretically evolve rapidly enough to challenge the outcome, though current model guidance indicates no such pathway exists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУраган обрушится на США к 31 мая?
Ураган обрушится на США к 31 мая?
Да
$26,085 Объем
$26,085 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Да
$26,085 Объем
$26,085 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances across the Atlantic basin with potential for tropical cyclone formation over the next seven days, leaving insufficient time for organization, intensification, and U.S. landfall before May 31. This aligns with the climatological record, where pre-June hurricanes are rare due to cooler sea-surface temperatures, higher wind shear, and the absence of African easterly waves strong enough to develop. Trader consensus at 95% for "No" reflects these conditions and the official season start on June 1. A sudden, undetected low-pressure system could theoretically evolve rapidly enough to challenge the outcome, though current model guidance indicates no such pathway exists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
Объем
$26,085Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances across the Atlantic basin with potential for tropical cyclone formation over the next seven days, leaving insufficient time for organization, intensification, and U.S. landfall before May 31. This aligns with the climatological record, where pre-June hurricanes are rare due to cooler sea-surface temperatures, higher wind shear, and the absence of African easterly waves strong enough to develop. Trader consensus at 95% for "No" reflects these conditions and the official season start on June 1. A sudden, undetected low-pressure system could theoretically evolve rapidly enough to challenge the outcome, though current model guidance indicates no such pathway exists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Объем
$26,085Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances across the Atlantic basin with potential for tropical cyclone formation over the next seven days, leaving insufficient time for organization, intensification, and U.S. landfall before May 31. This aligns with the climatological record, where pre-June hurricanes are rare due to cooler sea-surface temperatures, higher wind shear, and the absence of African easterly waves strong enough to develop. Trader consensus at 95% for "No" reflects these conditions and the official season start on June 1. A sudden, undetected low-pressure system could theoretically evolve rapidly enough to challenge the outcome, though current model guidance indicates no such pathway exists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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