The March 2026 shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app—a short-form video platform powered by its Sora 2 model—has anchored trader sentiment toward “No,” as low user engagement, deepfake backlash, and safety issues highlighted challenges in building sticky consumer social experiences. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype focused on ChatGPT image feeds fueled brief optimism, yet OpenAI’s subsequent emphasis on enterprise large language models and agentic tools has reinforced the view that a full social network launch by year-end remains unlikely. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming developer announcements and any potential integration of social features into GPT updates, though regulatory scrutiny on AI-generated content could further complicate timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыпустит ли OpenAI социальную сеть в 2026 году?
Выпустит ли OpenAI социальную сеть в 2026 году?
Да
$52,174 Объем
$52,174 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$52,174 Объем
$52,174 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The March 2026 shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app—a short-form video platform powered by its Sora 2 model—has anchored trader sentiment toward “No,” as low user engagement, deepfake backlash, and safety issues highlighted challenges in building sticky consumer social experiences. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype focused on ChatGPT image feeds fueled brief optimism, yet OpenAI’s subsequent emphasis on enterprise large language models and agentic tools has reinforced the view that a full social network launch by year-end remains unlikely. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming developer announcements and any potential integration of social features into GPT updates, though regulatory scrutiny on AI-generated content could further complicate timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Объем
$52,174Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The March 2026 shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app—a short-form video platform powered by its Sora 2 model—has anchored trader sentiment toward “No,” as low user engagement, deepfake backlash, and safety issues highlighted challenges in building sticky consumer social experiences. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype focused on ChatGPT image feeds fueled brief optimism, yet OpenAI’s subsequent emphasis on enterprise large language models and agentic tools has reinforced the view that a full social network launch by year-end remains unlikely. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming developer announcements and any potential integration of social features into GPT updates, though regulatory scrutiny on AI-generated content could further complicate timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$52,174Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The March 2026 shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app—a short-form video platform powered by its Sora 2 model—has anchored trader sentiment toward “No,” as low user engagement, deepfake backlash, and safety issues highlighted challenges in building sticky consumer social experiences. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype focused on ChatGPT image feeds fueled brief optimism, yet OpenAI’s subsequent emphasis on enterprise large language models and agentic tools has reinforced the view that a full social network launch by year-end remains unlikely. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming developer announcements and any potential integration of social features into GPT updates, though regulatory scrutiny on AI-generated content could further complicate timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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