Strong pre-release tracking and an unprecedented $309 million promotional campaign have fueled trader confidence that Spider-Man: Brand New Day will surpass Avengers: Endgame’s domestic opening weekend record of $357 million. Recent estimates from 4,300 theaters now range from $260–300 million domestically, with bullish analysts citing Tom Holland’s draw and escalating buzz as the film nears its August release. Industry narratives highlight Spider-Man: No Way Home’s $260 million debut as precedent for massive superhero launches, while guild and critic momentum remains secondary to box-office metrics. The weekend’s final numbers serve as the key catalyst that could lock in or shift the current 76.5% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСможет ли Spider-Man: Brand New Day побить рекорд первого уик-энда Avengers: Endgame?
Сможет ли Spider-Man: Brand New Day побить рекорд первого уик-энда Avengers: Endgame?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and an unprecedented $309 million promotional campaign have fueled trader confidence that Spider-Man: Brand New Day will surpass Avengers: Endgame’s domestic opening weekend record of $357 million. Recent estimates from 4,300 theaters now range from $260–300 million domestically, with bullish analysts citing Tom Holland’s draw and escalating buzz as the film nears its August release. Industry narratives highlight Spider-Man: No Way Home’s $260 million debut as precedent for massive superhero launches, while guild and critic momentum remains secondary to box-office metrics. The weekend’s final numbers serve as the key catalyst that could lock in or shift the current 76.5% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Объем
$4,854Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and an unprecedented $309 million promotional campaign have fueled trader confidence that Spider-Man: Brand New Day will surpass Avengers: Endgame’s domestic opening weekend record of $357 million. Recent estimates from 4,300 theaters now range from $260–300 million domestically, with bullish analysts citing Tom Holland’s draw and escalating buzz as the film nears its August release. Industry narratives highlight Spider-Man: No Way Home’s $260 million debut as precedent for massive superhero launches, while guild and critic momentum remains secondary to box-office metrics. The weekend’s final numbers serve as the key catalyst that could lock in or shift the current 76.5% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$4,854Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong pre-release tracking and an unprecedented $309 million promotional campaign have fueled trader confidence that Spider-Man: Brand New Day will surpass Avengers: Endgame’s domestic opening weekend record of $357 million. Recent estimates from 4,300 theaters now range from $260–300 million domestically, with bullish analysts citing Tom Holland’s draw and escalating buzz as the film nears its August release. Industry narratives highlight Spider-Man: No Way Home’s $260 million debut as precedent for massive superhero launches, while guild and critic momentum remains secondary to box-office metrics. The weekend’s final numbers serve as the key catalyst that could lock in or shift the current 76.5% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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