High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
125-130m 21%
130m+ 19%
110-115m 16%
115-120m 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
15%
85-90m
3%
90-95m
5%
95-100m
10%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
<1%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
15%
120-125m
22%
125-130m
21%
130m+
25%
125-130m 21%
130m+ 19%
110-115m 16%
115-120m 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$411 ปริมาณ
15%
85-90m
$436 ปริมาณ
3%
90-95m
$1,552 ปริมาณ
5%
95-100m
$277 ปริมาณ
10%
100-105m
$812 ปริมาณ
4%
105-110m
$442 ปริมาณ
<1%
110-115m
$565 ปริมาณ
16%
115-120m
$1,099 ปริมาณ
15%
120-125m
$408 ปริมาณ
22%
125-130m
$1,326 ปริมาณ
21%
130m+
$687 ปริมาณ
25%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,013วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,013วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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