Recent floor crossings have accelerated under Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, with five MPs—four from the Conservatives and one from the NDP—switching sides since late 2025. The most recent occurred on April 8, 2026, when longtime Conservative Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals ahead of their policy convention, moving the government one seat from a majority. MPs have cited alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a desire for stable governance amid Conservative leadership pressures under Pierre Poilievre. Speculation continues over further defections, including reports of Liberal outreach to sitting Conservatives, while procedural questions around by-elections and party legitimacy remain active in Parliament.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
12%
$1,868 ปริมาณ
May 31
$255 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have accelerated under Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, with five MPs—four from the Conservatives and one from the NDP—switching sides since late 2025. The most recent occurred on April 8, 2026, when longtime Conservative Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals ahead of their policy convention, moving the government one seat from a majority. MPs have cited alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a desire for stable governance amid Conservative leadership pressures under Pierre Poilievre. Speculation continues over further defections, including reports of Liberal outreach to sitting Conservatives, while procedural questions around by-elections and party legitimacy remain active in Parliament.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,868วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have accelerated under Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, with five MPs—four from the Conservatives and one from the NDP—switching sides since late 2025. The most recent occurred on April 8, 2026, when longtime Conservative Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals ahead of their policy convention, moving the government one seat from a majority. MPs have cited alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a desire for stable governance amid Conservative leadership pressures under Pierre Poilievre. Speculation continues over further defections, including reports of Liberal outreach to sitting Conservatives, while procedural questions around by-elections and party legitimacy remain active in Parliament.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,868วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent floor crossings have accelerated under Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, with five MPs—four from the Conservatives and one from the NDP—switching sides since late 2025. The most recent occurred on April 8, 2026, when longtime Conservative Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals ahead of their policy convention, moving the government one seat from a majority. MPs have cited alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a desire for stable governance amid Conservative leadership pressures under Pierre Poilievre. Speculation continues over further defections, including reports of Liberal outreach to sitting Conservatives, while procedural questions around by-elections and party legitimacy remain active in Parliament.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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