Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during May 19-26, consistent with established patterns of restrained official communication absent acute crises. Following the leadership transition earlier this year, activity on the account has stayed measured, with statements issued mainly around diplomatic exchanges or national observances. Ongoing discussions over nuclear issues and regional security show no immediate escalations that would prompt frequent updates. Late-May observances provide minimal additional impetus for higher volume, aligning with recent weeks where quiet intervals have predominated unless major military or political triggers emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?
<5 81%
5-9 24%
60+ 21.3%
55-59 18.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 26, 2026
<5
70%
5-9
24%
10-14
16%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
4%
50-54
14%
55-59
19%
60+
21%
<5 81%
5-9 24%
60+ 21.3%
55-59 18.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 26, 2026
<5
$11 ปริมาณ
70%
5-9
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
10-14
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
15-19
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
20-24
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
25-29
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
30-34
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
35-39
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
40-44
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
45-49
$20 ปริมาณ
4%
50-54
$20 ปริมาณ
14%
55-59
$25 ปริมาณ
19%
60+
$25 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during May 19-26, consistent with established patterns of restrained official communication absent acute crises. Following the leadership transition earlier this year, activity on the account has stayed measured, with statements issued mainly around diplomatic exchanges or national observances. Ongoing discussions over nuclear issues and regional security show no immediate escalations that would prompt frequent updates. Late-May observances provide minimal additional impetus for higher volume, aligning with recent weeks where quiet intervals have predominated unless major military or political triggers emerge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$131วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irThis market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during May 19-26, consistent with established patterns of restrained official communication absent acute crises. Following the leadership transition earlier this year, activity on the account has stayed measured, with statements issued mainly around diplomatic exchanges or national observances. Ongoing discussions over nuclear issues and regional security show no immediate escalations that would prompt frequent updates. Late-May observances provide minimal additional impetus for higher volume, aligning with recent weeks where quiet intervals have predominated unless major military or political triggers emerge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$131วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irTrader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during May 19-26, consistent with established patterns of restrained official communication absent acute crises. Following the leadership transition earlier this year, activity on the account has stayed measured, with statements issued mainly around diplomatic exchanges or national observances. Ongoing discussions over nuclear issues and regional security show no immediate escalations that would prompt frequent updates. Late-May observances provide minimal additional impetus for higher volume, aligning with recent weeks where quiet intervals have predominated unless major military or political triggers emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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